433 players won the lottery in the Philippines
After 433 players won the lottery in the Philippines last weekend, people across the country debated a conundrum: when do chances start to seem a bit too much like a gamble? Some Filipinos have accused the state-owned company of being behind the scam of around $4 million, an allegation that was quickly dismissed. Lawmakers said they plan to investigate the lottery results to ensure the integrity of the lottery. Skeptics have asked, how did 433 people all pick the same winning combination of six numbers – 094536271854? Or does six digits turn out to be a multiple of nine? Others argue that the outcome was just a case of luck. (The winning numbers can be in any order.) Statisticians note that it is not mathematically possible for the 433 winners to win big. Chua Tin Chiu, a statistician at the National University of Singapore, said: “Humans are very good at spotting patterns, but at the same time, we also need to find out if this particular phenomenon is the case. by chance or not”. “If so,” he added, “there’s nothing unusual about it.” “Everything can be explained” The National Lottery is held daily in the Philippines, and the results are broadcast online and through television and radio stations, often with breaks for information. commercial news. Before each draw, the program shows a test of the lottery machines and the balls used to draw the winning numbers. The 433 winners of the October 1 Grand Lotto draw are each expected to receive at least 545,000 Philippine pesos, or about $9,300 before taxes, or more than double their annual per capita income in the Philippines. The Philippine Office of Charity Sweepstakes, which organizes the lottery, did not disclose the names of the winners.
Professor Chua, a statistician from Singapore, said the criticism was an example of people’s misunderstanding of the nature of chance.
Melquiades Robles, executive director of the Philippine Charity Sweepstakes Office, told reporters on Sunday that the popularity of the number nine may have something to do with the outcome. “So far, last night’s event was just one of the regular events, except we had a lot of winners,” he added. “Everything is explained. We don’t see anything wrong. A day later, Guido David, a professor of mathematics at the University of the Philippines, Diliman, tweeted an analysis of lottery results that echoed the theory of multiples of nine. As for the odds of that particular outcome? “The answer is that it is the same for any other specific outcome,” he wrote. There’s Always a Chances Such explanations have not satisfied critics, some of whom have spent years betting at accredited lottery shops in markets, malls, and markets. and alleyways throughout the Philippines. Some noted that several officials from the Philippine Charity Sweepstakes Office, which sold nearly $443 million in tickets in the first half of this year, have been found guilty of bribery and other crimes over the past decade. , including one case where they pocketed money. . The 36 Hour Editors’ Pick in New York Sizing a House in Jersey City: How Much Work Is Too Much? The humble origins of the ‘biggest league in the world’ Longtime bettor Elizalde Dumile, 49, said Wednesday that the October tournament. One lottery result shed some light: he had played some similar numbers before and only won about 500 Philippine pesos, or $8.50, each time. The size of the group of winners also seemed oddly large to him. “Four hundred and thirty-three people get exactly six numbers at the same time?” asked Mr. Dumile, a domestic worker in Cotabato city, southern Philippines. “There’s something puzzling about that.” Members of the Philippine Congress agreed. House and Senate lawmakers said this week they plan to investigate the controversial draw results. One of those lawmakers, Aquilino Pimentel III, Senate Minority Leader, told The Times in a message on Wednesday that while the outcome was “not impossible,” it appeared “very difficult.” happen.” House Minority Leader Marcelino Libanan said an investigation was underway, in part because news of the 433 winners had sparked so much speculation – on social media and in the media. information – about the possibility of fraud. “We also need to protect the hopes and dreams of the millions of Filipinos who attend lottery draws every day,” he said. But the mathematicians said they saw no evidence of cheating. Czarinne Antoinette Antonio, a statistician at the University of the Philippines, said she believes her colleague Guido David’s analysis of the October 1 lottery results is accurate. She added that the researchers could further analyze the results by taking a closer look at the specifics, including how many people bought tickets.